HK Racing AI

Happy Valley 1000m A Draw Statistics

Happy Valley 1000m, Turf "A" Course: 21 races, 247 runners analysed. Draw 3 has the best strike rate, 19% (4/21); draw 9 the worst, 0/21. Inside draws 1–4 win 13% and place 30%; draws 10 and wider win 5% and place 24%. Across all courses for 1000m at Happy Valley, inside draws win 12% (315 runners).

Turf "A" Course · 21 races · 247 runners

By draw

DrawStartsWWin %Place %All courses win %
121314%29%12%
221210%14%11%
321419%38%14%
421210%38%10%
521210%19%10%
62115%19%8%
721314%19%10%
82115%38%8%
92100%19%3%
102115%33%10%
11191——3%
12181——5%

Rates are shown only from 20 runners upwards; smaller samples mislead.

Inside, middle and outside

DrawStartsWin %Place %All courses win %
Inside 1–48413%30%12%
Middle 5–91057%23%8%
Outside 10+585%24%6%

How to read draw statistics

The same distance can favour inside or outside draws differently depending on the rail position (A, B, C, C+3 and so on), so each course is shown separately. Happy Valley's tight turns and short straight usually help inside draws; Sha Tin's long straight tends to reduce the effect. These are past results only — horse quality, pace and jockey still matter.

Other courses at Happy Valley

1000m B1000m C1000m C+31200m A1200m B1200m C1200m C+31650m A1650m B1650m C1650m C+31800m A1800m B1800m C1800m C+3

Pre-race signals are on @Oddsflowjockey_bot →

FAQ

Which draw is best over 1000m A at Happy Valley?

draw 3 19% (4/21), draw 1 14% (3/21), draw 7 14% (3/21). Draws with fewer than 20 runners are not rated.

How much do inside and outside draws differ over 1000m A at Happy Valley?

inside draws (1–4): 13% win, 30% place; middle draws (5–9): 7% win, 23% place; outside draws (10+): 5% win, 24% place.

Is the inside-draw edge stronger on the A course?

Inside draws win 13% on this course against 12% across all 1000m courses at Happy Valley: little difference.

How are these draw statistics calculated?

All runners with a finishing position are counted (scratchings and non-finishers are not): 21 races, 247 runners, with old and new course notations merged. Win rate = wins ÷ runners; place rate = top-three finishes ÷ runners.