Happy Valley 1200m A Draw Statistics
Happy Valley 1200m, Turf "A" Course: 84 races, 985 runners analysed. Draw 2 has the best strike rate, 18% (15/83); draw 11 the worst, 1/80. Inside draws 1–4 win 14% and place 32%; draws 10 and wider win 5% and place 18%. Across all courses for 1200m at Happy Valley, inside draws win 11% (1223 runners).
Turf "A" Course · 84 races · 985 runners
By draw
| Draw | Starts | W | Win % | Place % | All courses win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 82 | 12 | 15% | 30% | 14% |
| 2 | 83 | 15 | 18% | 42% | 11% |
| 3 | 84 | 5 | 6% | 23% | 8% |
| 4 | 84 | 13 | 15% | 35% | 12% |
| 5 | 82 | 10 | 12% | 32% | 13% |
| 6 | 84 | 3 | 4% | 27% | 10% |
| 7 | 82 | 2 | 2% | 20% | 7% |
| 8 | 84 | 7 | 8% | 24% | 6% |
| 9 | 82 | 5 | 6% | 22% | 8% |
| 10 | 81 | 6 | 7% | 20% | 5% |
| 11 | 80 | 1 | 1% | 14% | 4% |
| 12 | 77 | 5 | 6% | 21% | 4% |
Rates are shown only from 20 runners upwards; smaller samples mislead.
Inside, middle and outside
| Draw | Starts | Win % | Place % | All courses win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inside 1–4 | 333 | 14% | 32% | 11% |
| Middle 5–9 | 414 | 7% | 25% | 9% |
| Outside 10+ | 238 | 5% | 18% | 4% |
How to read draw statistics
The same distance can favour inside or outside draws differently depending on the rail position (A, B, C, C+3 and so on), so each course is shown separately. Happy Valley's tight turns and short straight usually help inside draws; Sha Tin's long straight tends to reduce the effect. These are past results only — horse quality, pace and jockey still matter.
Other courses at Happy Valley
1000m A1000m B1000m C1000m C+31200m B1200m C1200m C+31650m A1650m B1650m C1650m C+31800m A1800m B1800m C1800m C+3
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FAQ
Which draw is best over 1200m A at Happy Valley?
draw 2 18% (15/83), draw 4 15% (13/84), draw 1 15% (12/82). Draws with fewer than 20 runners are not rated.
How much do inside and outside draws differ over 1200m A at Happy Valley?
inside draws (1–4): 14% win, 32% place; middle draws (5–9): 7% win, 25% place; outside draws (10+): 5% win, 18% place.
Is the inside-draw edge stronger on the A course?
Inside draws win 14% on this course against 11% across all 1200m courses at Happy Valley: a stronger inside edge here.
How are these draw statistics calculated?
All runners with a finishing position are counted (scratchings and non-finishers are not): 84 races, 985 runners, with old and new course notations merged. Win rate = wins ÷ runners; place rate = top-three finishes ÷ runners.