HK Racing AI

Happy Valley 1800m C+3 Draw Statistics

Happy Valley 1800m, Turf "C+3" Course: 12 races, 139 runners analysed. Inside draws 1–4 win 13% and place 35%; draws 10 and wider win 13% and place 23%. Across all courses for 1800m at Happy Valley, inside draws win 8% (231 runners).

Turf "C+3" Course · 12 races · 139 runners

By draw

DrawStartsWWin %Place %All courses win %
1123——12%
2120——3%
3121——9%
4122——9%
5120——5%
6120——9%
7120——12%
8120——5%
9122——14%
10111——15%
11113——8%
1290——2%

Rates are shown only from 20 runners upwards; smaller samples mislead.

Inside, middle and outside

DrawStartsWin %Place %All courses win %
Inside 1–44813%35%8%
Middle 5–9603%22%9%
Outside 10+3113%23%8%

How to read draw statistics

The same distance can favour inside or outside draws differently depending on the rail position (A, B, C, C+3 and so on), so each course is shown separately. Happy Valley's tight turns and short straight usually help inside draws; Sha Tin's long straight tends to reduce the effect. These are past results only — horse quality, pace and jockey still matter.

Other courses at Happy Valley

1000m A1000m B1000m C1000m C+31200m A1200m B1200m C1200m C+31650m A1650m B1650m C1650m C+31800m A1800m B1800m C

Pre-race signals are on @Oddsflowjockey_bot →

FAQ

How much do inside and outside draws differ over 1800m C+3 at Happy Valley?

inside draws (1–4): 13% win, 35% place; middle draws (5–9): 3% win, 22% place; outside draws (10+): 13% win, 23% place.

Is the inside-draw edge stronger on the C+3 course?

Inside draws win 13% on this course against 8% across all 1800m courses at Happy Valley: a stronger inside edge here.

How are these draw statistics calculated?

All runners with a finishing position are counted (scratchings and non-finishers are not): 12 races, 139 runners, with old and new course notations merged. Win rate = wins ÷ runners; place rate = top-three finishes ÷ runners.