Happy Valley 1650m C+3 Draw Statistics
Happy Valley 1650m, Turf "C+3" Course: 41 races, 472 runners analysed. Draw 2 has the best strike rate, 17% (7/41); draw 4 the worst, 1/40. Inside draws 1–4 win 10% and place 30%; draws 10 and wider win 7% and place 21%. Across all courses for 1650m at Happy Valley, inside draws win 11% (820 runners).
Turf "C+3" Course · 41 races · 472 runners
By draw
| Draw | Starts | W | Win % | Place % | All courses win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 40 | 3 | 8% | 33% | 13% |
| 2 | 41 | 7 | 17% | 37% | 13% |
| 3 | 41 | 6 | 15% | 27% | 11% |
| 4 | 40 | 1 | 3% | 23% | 7% |
| 5 | 41 | 2 | 5% | 34% | 6% |
| 6 | 41 | 3 | 7% | 24% | 9% |
| 7 | 40 | 2 | 5% | 25% | 13% |
| 8 | 41 | 4 | 10% | 22% | 7% |
| 9 | 40 | 5 | 13% | 25% | 8% |
| 10 | 38 | 2 | 5% | 13% | 6% |
| 11 | 37 | 3 | 8% | 22% | 4% |
| 12 | 32 | 3 | 9% | 28% | 5% |
Rates are shown only from 20 runners upwards; smaller samples mislead.
Inside, middle and outside
| Draw | Starts | Win % | Place % | All courses win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inside 1–4 | 162 | 10% | 30% | 11% |
| Middle 5–9 | 203 | 8% | 26% | 9% |
| Outside 10+ | 107 | 7% | 21% | 5% |
How to read draw statistics
The same distance can favour inside or outside draws differently depending on the rail position (A, B, C, C+3 and so on), so each course is shown separately. Happy Valley's tight turns and short straight usually help inside draws; Sha Tin's long straight tends to reduce the effect. These are past results only — horse quality, pace and jockey still matter.
Other courses at Happy Valley
1000m A1000m B1000m C1000m C+31200m A1200m B1200m C1200m C+31650m A1650m B1650m C1800m A1800m B1800m C1800m C+3
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FAQ
Which draw is best over 1650m C+3 at Happy Valley?
draw 2 17% (7/41), draw 3 15% (6/41), draw 9 13% (5/40). Draws with fewer than 20 runners are not rated.
How much do inside and outside draws differ over 1650m C+3 at Happy Valley?
inside draws (1–4): 10% win, 30% place; middle draws (5–9): 8% win, 26% place; outside draws (10+): 7% win, 21% place.
Is the inside-draw edge stronger on the C+3 course?
Inside draws win 10% on this course against 11% across all 1650m courses at Happy Valley: little difference.
How are these draw statistics calculated?
All runners with a finishing position are counted (scratchings and non-finishers are not): 41 races, 472 runners, with old and new course notations merged. Win rate = wins ÷ runners; place rate = top-three finishes ÷ runners.
Data updated HKT