HK Racing AI

Happy Valley 1800m A Draw Statistics

Happy Valley 1800m, Turf "A" Course: 17 races, 200 runners analysed. Inside draws 1–4 win 10% and place 28%; draws 10 and wider win 8% and place 33%. Across all courses for 1800m at Happy Valley, inside draws win 8% (231 runners).

Turf "A" Course · 17 races · 200 runners

By draw

DrawStartsWWin %Place %All courses win %
1162——12%
2172——3%
3173——9%
4170——9%
5171——5%
6171——9%
7171——12%
8171——5%
9172——14%
10173——15%
11160——8%
12151——2%

Rates are shown only from 20 runners upwards; smaller samples mislead.

Inside, middle and outside

DrawStartsWin %Place %All courses win %
Inside 1–46710%28%8%
Middle 5–9857%19%9%
Outside 10+488%33%8%

How to read draw statistics

The same distance can favour inside or outside draws differently depending on the rail position (A, B, C, C+3 and so on), so each course is shown separately. Happy Valley's tight turns and short straight usually help inside draws; Sha Tin's long straight tends to reduce the effect. These are past results only — horse quality, pace and jockey still matter.

Other courses at Happy Valley

1000m A1000m B1000m C1000m C+31200m A1200m B1200m C1200m C+31650m A1650m B1650m C1650m C+31800m B1800m C1800m C+3

Pre-race signals are on @Oddsflowjockey_bot →

FAQ

How much do inside and outside draws differ over 1800m A at Happy Valley?

inside draws (1–4): 10% win, 28% place; middle draws (5–9): 7% win, 19% place; outside draws (10+): 8% win, 33% place.

Is the inside-draw edge stronger on the A course?

Inside draws win 10% on this course against 8% across all 1800m courses at Happy Valley: a stronger inside edge here.

How are these draw statistics calculated?

All runners with a finishing position are counted (scratchings and non-finishers are not): 17 races, 200 runners, with old and new course notations merged. Win rate = wins ÷ runners; place rate = top-three finishes ÷ runners.

Data updated HKT