HK Racing AI

Happy Valley 1000m C+3 Draw Statistics

Happy Valley 1000m, Turf "C+3" Course: 14 races, 162 runners analysed. Inside draws 1–4 win 9% and place 25%; draws 10 and wider win 3% and place 19%. Across all courses for 1000m at Happy Valley, inside draws win 12% (315 runners).

Turf "C+3" Course · 14 races · 162 runners

By draw

DrawStartsWWin %Place %All courses win %
1140——12%
2144——11%
3141——14%
4140——10%
5142——10%
6141——8%
7141——10%
8142——8%
9132——3%
10131——10%
11120——3%
12120——5%

Rates are shown only from 20 runners upwards; smaller samples mislead.

Inside, middle and outside

DrawStartsWin %Place %All courses win %
Inside 1–4569%25%12%
Middle 5–96912%30%8%
Outside 10+373%19%6%

How to read draw statistics

The same distance can favour inside or outside draws differently depending on the rail position (A, B, C, C+3 and so on), so each course is shown separately. Happy Valley's tight turns and short straight usually help inside draws; Sha Tin's long straight tends to reduce the effect. These are past results only — horse quality, pace and jockey still matter.

Other courses at Happy Valley

1000m A1000m B1000m C1200m A1200m B1200m C1200m C+31650m A1650m B1650m C1650m C+31800m A1800m B1800m C1800m C+3

Pre-race signals are on @Oddsflowjockey_bot →

FAQ

How much do inside and outside draws differ over 1000m C+3 at Happy Valley?

inside draws (1–4): 9% win, 25% place; middle draws (5–9): 12% win, 30% place; outside draws (10+): 3% win, 19% place.

Is the inside-draw edge stronger on the C+3 course?

Inside draws win 9% on this course against 12% across all 1000m courses at Happy Valley: a weaker inside edge here.

How are these draw statistics calculated?

All runners with a finishing position are counted (scratchings and non-finishers are not): 14 races, 162 runners, with old and new course notations merged. Win rate = wins ÷ runners; place rate = top-three finishes ÷ runners.

Data updated HKT