HK Racing AI

Happy Valley 1200m C Draw Statistics

Happy Valley 1200m, Turf "C" Course: 77 races, 903 runners analysed. Draw 1 has the best strike rate, 13% (10/76); draw 11 the worst, 1/71. Inside draws 1–4 win 11% and place 31%; draws 10 and wider win 3% and place 14%. Across all courses for 1200m at Happy Valley, inside draws win 11% (1223 runners).

Turf "C" Course · 77 races · 903 runners

By draw

DrawStartsWWin %Place %All courses win %
1761013%36%14%
277810%31%11%
376811%33%8%
47779%26%12%
577912%30%13%
6761013%34%10%
77668%28%7%
87657%17%6%
976811%29%8%
107645%25%5%
117111%7%4%
126911%9%4%

Rates are shown only from 20 runners upwards; smaller samples mislead.

Inside, middle and outside

DrawStartsWin %Place %All courses win %
Inside 1–430611%31%11%
Middle 5–938110%28%9%
Outside 10+2163%14%4%

How to read draw statistics

The same distance can favour inside or outside draws differently depending on the rail position (A, B, C, C+3 and so on), so each course is shown separately. Happy Valley's tight turns and short straight usually help inside draws; Sha Tin's long straight tends to reduce the effect. These are past results only — horse quality, pace and jockey still matter.

Other courses at Happy Valley

1000m A1000m B1000m C1000m C+31200m A1200m B1200m C+31650m A1650m B1650m C1650m C+31800m A1800m B1800m C1800m C+3

Pre-race signals are on @Oddsflowjockey_bot →

FAQ

Which draw is best over 1200m C at Happy Valley?

draw 1 13% (10/76), draw 6 13% (10/76), draw 5 12% (9/77). Draws with fewer than 20 runners are not rated.

How much do inside and outside draws differ over 1200m C at Happy Valley?

inside draws (1–4): 11% win, 31% place; middle draws (5–9): 10% win, 28% place; outside draws (10+): 3% win, 14% place.

Is the inside-draw edge stronger on the C course?

Inside draws win 11% on this course against 11% across all 1200m courses at Happy Valley: little difference.

How are these draw statistics calculated?

All runners with a finishing position are counted (scratchings and non-finishers are not): 77 races, 903 runners, with old and new course notations merged. Win rate = wins ÷ runners; place rate = top-three finishes ÷ runners.

Data updated HKT