Happy Valley 1650m A Draw Statistics
Happy Valley 1650m, Turf "A" Course: 69 races, 799 runners analysed. Draw 7 has the best strike rate, 18% (12/68); draw 12 the worst, 0/55. Inside draws 1–4 win 11% and place 32%; draws 10 and wider win 2% and place 13%. Across all courses for 1650m at Happy Valley, inside draws win 11% (820 runners).
Turf "A" Course · 69 races · 799 runners
By draw
| Draw | Starts | W | Win % | Place % | All courses win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 69 | 8 | 12% | 33% | 13% |
| 2 | 68 | 9 | 13% | 24% | 13% |
| 3 | 67 | 7 | 10% | 36% | 11% |
| 4 | 69 | 5 | 7% | 33% | 7% |
| 5 | 69 | 7 | 10% | 22% | 6% |
| 6 | 69 | 8 | 12% | 29% | 9% |
| 7 | 68 | 12 | 18% | 46% | 13% |
| 8 | 69 | 3 | 4% | 20% | 7% |
| 9 | 67 | 7 | 10% | 27% | 8% |
| 10 | 66 | 3 | 5% | 11% | 6% |
| 11 | 63 | 1 | 2% | 13% | 4% |
| 12 | 55 | 0 | 0% | 15% | 5% |
Rates are shown only from 20 runners upwards; smaller samples mislead.
Inside, middle and outside
| Draw | Starts | Win % | Place % | All courses win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inside 1–4 | 273 | 11% | 32% | 11% |
| Middle 5–9 | 342 | 11% | 29% | 9% |
| Outside 10+ | 184 | 2% | 13% | 5% |
How to read draw statistics
The same distance can favour inside or outside draws differently depending on the rail position (A, B, C, C+3 and so on), so each course is shown separately. Happy Valley's tight turns and short straight usually help inside draws; Sha Tin's long straight tends to reduce the effect. These are past results only — horse quality, pace and jockey still matter.
Other courses at Happy Valley
1000m A1000m B1000m C1000m C+31200m A1200m B1200m C1200m C+31650m B1650m C1650m C+31800m A1800m B1800m C1800m C+3
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FAQ
Which draw is best over 1650m A at Happy Valley?
draw 7 18% (12/68), draw 2 13% (9/68), draw 1 12% (8/69). Draws with fewer than 20 runners are not rated.
How much do inside and outside draws differ over 1650m A at Happy Valley?
inside draws (1–4): 11% win, 32% place; middle draws (5–9): 11% win, 29% place; outside draws (10+): 2% win, 13% place.
Is the inside-draw edge stronger on the A course?
Inside draws win 11% on this course against 11% across all 1650m courses at Happy Valley: little difference.
How are these draw statistics calculated?
All runners with a finishing position are counted (scratchings and non-finishers are not): 69 races, 799 runners, with old and new course notations merged. Win rate = wins ÷ runners; place rate = top-three finishes ÷ runners.