HK Racing AI

Sha Tin 1000m A+3 Draw Statistics

Sha Tin 1000m, Turf "A+3" Course: 12 races, 145 runners analysed. Inside draws 1–4 win 6% and place 21%; draws 10 and wider win 15% and place 34%. Across all courses for 1000m at Sha Tin, inside draws win 8% (331 runners).

Turf "A+3" Course · 12 races · 145 runners

By draw

DrawStartsWWin %Place %All courses win %
1111——6%
2121——12%
3120——1%
4121——13%
5121——8%
6120——10%
7121——13%
8110——6%
9101——12%
1092——6%
1191——6%
1281——5%
1382——10%
1470——4%

Rates are shown only from 20 runners upwards; smaller samples mislead.

Inside, middle and outside

DrawStartsWin %Place %All courses win %
Inside 1–4476%21%8%
Middle 5–9575%21%10%
Outside 10+4115%34%6%

How to read draw statistics

The same distance can favour inside or outside draws differently depending on the rail position (A, B, C, C+3 and so on), so each course is shown separately. Happy Valley's tight turns and short straight usually help inside draws; Sha Tin's long straight tends to reduce the effect. These are past results only — horse quality, pace and jockey still matter.

Other courses at Sha Tin

1000m A1000m B+21000m C1000m C+31200m A1200m A+31200m AWT1200m B1200m B+21200m C1200m C+31400m A1400m A+31400m B1400m B+21400m C1400m C+31600m A1600m A+31600m B+21600m C1600m C+31650m AWT1800m A1800m AWT1800m C1800m C+32000m A2000m A+32000m B+2

Pre-race signals are on @Oddsflowjockey_bot →

FAQ

How much do inside and outside draws differ over 1000m A+3 at Sha Tin?

inside draws (1–4): 6% win, 21% place; middle draws (5–9): 5% win, 21% place; outside draws (10+): 15% win, 34% place.

Is the inside-draw edge stronger on the A+3 course?

Inside draws win 6% on this course against 8% across all 1000m courses at Sha Tin: little difference.

How are these draw statistics calculated?

All runners with a finishing position are counted (scratchings and non-finishers are not): 12 races, 145 runners, with old and new course notations merged. Win rate = wins ÷ runners; place rate = top-three finishes ÷ runners.