HK Racing AI

Sha Tin 1200m AWT Draw Statistics

Sha Tin 1200m, All Weather Track: 93 races, 1095 runners analysed. Draw 4 has the best strike rate, 19% (18/93); draw 8 the worst, 2/93. Inside draws 1–4 win 14% and place 32%; draws 10 and wider win 6% and place 20%. Across all courses for 1200m at Sha Tin, inside draws win 11% (1610 runners).

All Weather Track · 93 races · 1095 runners

By draw

DrawStartsWWin %Place %All courses win %
19389%25%12%
2921314%35%12%
3921112%35%8%
4931819%32%11%
59244%23%6%
6931415%30%8%
79267%20%8%
89322%24%6%
99122%22%6%
10891011%27%8%
118833%16%6%
128722%18%6%

Rates are shown only from 20 runners upwards; smaller samples mislead.

Inside, middle and outside

DrawStartsWin %Place %All courses win %
Inside 1–437014%32%11%
Middle 5–94616%24%7%
Outside 10+2646%20%7%

How to read draw statistics

The same distance can favour inside or outside draws differently depending on the rail position (A, B, C, C+3 and so on), so each course is shown separately. Happy Valley's tight turns and short straight usually help inside draws; Sha Tin's long straight tends to reduce the effect. These are past results only — horse quality, pace and jockey still matter.

Other courses at Sha Tin

1000m A1000m A+31000m B+21000m C1000m C+31200m A1200m A+31200m B1200m B+21200m C1200m C+31400m A1400m A+31400m B1400m B+21400m C1400m C+31600m A1600m A+31600m B+21600m C1600m C+31650m AWT1800m A1800m AWT1800m C1800m C+32000m A2000m A+32000m B+2

Pre-race signals are on @Oddsflowjockey_bot →

FAQ

Which draw is best over 1200m AWT at Sha Tin?

draw 4 19% (18/93), draw 6 15% (14/93), draw 2 14% (13/92). Draws with fewer than 20 runners are not rated.

How much do inside and outside draws differ over 1200m AWT at Sha Tin?

inside draws (1–4): 14% win, 32% place; middle draws (5–9): 6% win, 24% place; outside draws (10+): 6% win, 20% place.

Is the inside-draw edge stronger on the AWT course?

Inside draws win 14% on this course against 11% across all 1200m courses at Sha Tin: a stronger inside edge here.

How are these draw statistics calculated?

All runners with a finishing position are counted (scratchings and non-finishers are not): 93 races, 1095 runners, with old and new course notations merged. Win rate = wins ÷ runners; place rate = top-three finishes ÷ runners.