HK Racing AI

Sha Tin 1400m A+3 Draw Statistics

Sha Tin 1400m, Turf "A+3" Course: 34 races, 450 runners analysed. Draw 2 has the best strike rate, 18% (6/34); draw 9 the worst, 1/34. Inside draws 1–4 win 9% and place 28%; draws 10 and wider win 9% and place 24%. Across all courses for 1400m at Sha Tin, inside draws win 9% (1195 runners).

Turf "A+3" Course · 34 races · 450 runners

By draw

DrawStartsWWin %Place %All courses win %
13313%18%9%
234618%32%10%
33439%24%10%
43426%38%8%
53439%26%8%
63426%24%7%
73413%9%7%
83426%15%8%
93413%12%6%
1033515%30%8%
113013%23%5%
1230310%23%8%
132727%19%6%
142528%24%4%

Rates are shown only from 20 runners upwards; smaller samples mislead.

Inside, middle and outside

DrawStartsWin %Place %All courses win %
Inside 1–41359%28%9%
Middle 5–91705%17%7%
Outside 10+1459%24%6%

How to read draw statistics

The same distance can favour inside or outside draws differently depending on the rail position (A, B, C, C+3 and so on), so each course is shown separately. Happy Valley's tight turns and short straight usually help inside draws; Sha Tin's long straight tends to reduce the effect. These are past results only — horse quality, pace and jockey still matter.

Other courses at Sha Tin

1000m A1000m A+31000m B+21000m C1000m C+31200m A1200m A+31200m AWT1200m B1200m B+21200m C1200m C+31400m A1400m B1400m B+21400m C1400m C+31600m A1600m A+31600m B+21600m C1600m C+31650m AWT1800m A1800m AWT1800m C1800m C+32000m A2000m A+32000m B+2

Pre-race signals are on @Oddsflowjockey_bot →

FAQ

Which draw is best over 1400m A+3 at Sha Tin?

draw 2 18% (6/34), draw 10 15% (5/33), draw 12 10% (3/30). Draws with fewer than 20 runners are not rated.

How much do inside and outside draws differ over 1400m A+3 at Sha Tin?

inside draws (1–4): 9% win, 28% place; middle draws (5–9): 5% win, 17% place; outside draws (10+): 9% win, 24% place.

Is the inside-draw edge stronger on the A+3 course?

Inside draws win 9% on this course against 9% across all 1400m courses at Sha Tin: little difference.

How are these draw statistics calculated?

All runners with a finishing position are counted (scratchings and non-finishers are not): 34 races, 450 runners, with old and new course notations merged. Win rate = wins ÷ runners; place rate = top-three finishes ÷ runners.