HK Racing AI

Sha Tin 1600m A+3 Draw Statistics

Sha Tin 1600m, Turf "A+3" Course: 13 races, 154 runners analysed. Inside draws 1–4 win 15% and place 29%; draws 10 and wider win 0% and place 16%. Across all courses for 1600m at Sha Tin, inside draws win 11% (523 runners).

Turf "A+3" Course · 13 races · 154 runners

By draw

DrawStartsWWin %Place %All courses win %
1131——10%
2132——10%
3133——16%
4132——9%
5131——6%
6130——7%
7131——5%
8131——4%
9122——9%
1080——5%
1180——5%
1280——7%
1370——4%
1470——8%

Rates are shown only from 20 runners upwards; smaller samples mislead.

Inside, middle and outside

DrawStartsWin %Place %All courses win %
Inside 1–45215%29%11%
Middle 5–9648%28%6%
Outside 10+380%16%6%

How to read draw statistics

The same distance can favour inside or outside draws differently depending on the rail position (A, B, C, C+3 and so on), so each course is shown separately. Happy Valley's tight turns and short straight usually help inside draws; Sha Tin's long straight tends to reduce the effect. These are past results only — horse quality, pace and jockey still matter.

Other courses at Sha Tin

1000m A1000m A+31000m B+21000m C1000m C+31200m A1200m A+31200m AWT1200m B1200m B+21200m C1200m C+31400m A1400m A+31400m B1400m B+21400m C1400m C+31600m A1600m B+21600m C1600m C+31650m AWT1800m A1800m AWT1800m C1800m C+32000m A2000m A+32000m B+2

Pre-race signals are on @Oddsflowjockey_bot →

FAQ

How much do inside and outside draws differ over 1600m A+3 at Sha Tin?

inside draws (1–4): 15% win, 29% place; middle draws (5–9): 8% win, 28% place; outside draws (10+): 0% win, 16% place.

Is the inside-draw edge stronger on the A+3 course?

Inside draws win 15% on this course against 11% across all 1600m courses at Sha Tin: a stronger inside edge here.

How are these draw statistics calculated?

All runners with a finishing position are counted (scratchings and non-finishers are not): 13 races, 154 runners, with old and new course notations merged. Win rate = wins ÷ runners; place rate = top-three finishes ÷ runners.