HK Racing AI

Sha Tin 1400m A Draw Statistics

Sha Tin 1400m, Turf "A" Course: 72 races, 939 runners analysed. Draw 5 has the best strike rate, 14% (10/72); draw 7 the worst, 2/72. Inside draws 1–4 win 8% and place 21%; draws 10 and wider win 6% and place 18%. Across all courses for 1400m at Sha Tin, inside draws win 9% (1195 runners).

Turf "A" Course · 72 races · 939 runners

By draw

DrawStartsWWin %Place %All courses win %
17146%25%9%
272811%26%10%
37268%17%10%
47257%14%8%
5721014%26%8%
67168%25%7%
77223%33%7%
872913%39%8%
96846%22%6%
106646%20%8%
116358%24%5%
126047%15%8%
135735%11%6%
145124%20%4%

Rates are shown only from 20 runners upwards; smaller samples mislead.

Inside, middle and outside

DrawStartsWin %Place %All courses win %
Inside 1–42878%21%9%
Middle 5–93559%29%7%
Outside 10+2976%18%6%

How to read draw statistics

The same distance can favour inside or outside draws differently depending on the rail position (A, B, C, C+3 and so on), so each course is shown separately. Happy Valley's tight turns and short straight usually help inside draws; Sha Tin's long straight tends to reduce the effect. These are past results only — horse quality, pace and jockey still matter.

Other courses at Sha Tin

1000m A1000m A+31000m B+21000m C1000m C+31200m A1200m A+31200m AWT1200m B1200m B+21200m C1200m C+31400m A+31400m B1400m B+21400m C1400m C+31600m A1600m A+31600m B+21600m C1600m C+31650m AWT1800m A1800m AWT1800m C1800m C+32000m A2000m A+32000m B+2

Pre-race signals are on @Oddsflowjockey_bot →

FAQ

Which draw is best over 1400m A at Sha Tin?

draw 5 14% (10/72), draw 8 13% (9/72), draw 2 11% (8/72). Draws with fewer than 20 runners are not rated.

How much do inside and outside draws differ over 1400m A at Sha Tin?

inside draws (1–4): 8% win, 21% place; middle draws (5–9): 9% win, 29% place; outside draws (10+): 6% win, 18% place.

Is the inside-draw edge stronger on the A course?

Inside draws win 8% on this course against 9% across all 1400m courses at Sha Tin: little difference.

How are these draw statistics calculated?

All runners with a finishing position are counted (scratchings and non-finishers are not): 72 races, 939 runners, with old and new course notations merged. Win rate = wins ÷ runners; place rate = top-three finishes ÷ runners.

Data updated HKT