HK Racing AI

Sha Tin 1600m C Draw Statistics

Sha Tin 1600m, Turf "C" Course: 30 races, 406 runners analysed. Draw 3 has the best strike rate, 27% (8/30); draw 13 the worst, 0/27. Inside draws 1–4 win 14% and place 34%; draws 10 and wider win 6% and place 18%. Across all courses for 1600m at Sha Tin, inside draws win 11% (523 runners).

Turf "C" Course · 30 races · 406 runners

By draw

DrawStartsWWin %Place %All courses win %
130413%40%10%
230310%23%10%
330827%43%16%
43027%30%9%
53027%10%6%
63013%20%7%
73027%23%5%
83000%17%4%
92900%14%9%
102900%24%5%
112827%11%5%
122827%21%7%
132700%7%4%
1425416%24%8%

Rates are shown only from 20 runners upwards; smaller samples mislead.

Inside, middle and outside

DrawStartsWin %Place %All courses win %
Inside 1–412014%34%11%
Middle 5–91493%17%6%
Outside 10+1376%18%6%

How to read draw statistics

The same distance can favour inside or outside draws differently depending on the rail position (A, B, C, C+3 and so on), so each course is shown separately. Happy Valley's tight turns and short straight usually help inside draws; Sha Tin's long straight tends to reduce the effect. These are past results only — horse quality, pace and jockey still matter.

Other courses at Sha Tin

1000m A1000m A+31000m B+21000m C1000m C+31200m A1200m A+31200m AWT1200m B1200m B+21200m C1200m C+31400m A1400m A+31400m B1400m B+21400m C1400m C+31600m A1600m A+31600m B+21600m C+31650m AWT1800m A1800m AWT1800m C1800m C+32000m A2000m A+32000m B+2

Pre-race signals are on @Oddsflowjockey_bot →

FAQ

Which draw is best over 1600m C at Sha Tin?

draw 3 27% (8/30), draw 14 16% (4/25), draw 1 13% (4/30). Draws with fewer than 20 runners are not rated.

How much do inside and outside draws differ over 1600m C at Sha Tin?

inside draws (1–4): 14% win, 34% place; middle draws (5–9): 3% win, 17% place; outside draws (10+): 6% win, 18% place.

Is the inside-draw edge stronger on the C course?

Inside draws win 14% on this course against 11% across all 1600m courses at Sha Tin: a stronger inside edge here.

How are these draw statistics calculated?

All runners with a finishing position are counted (scratchings and non-finishers are not): 30 races, 406 runners, with old and new course notations merged. Win rate = wins ÷ runners; place rate = top-three finishes ÷ runners.