HK Racing AI

Sha Tin 1600m C+3 Draw Statistics

Sha Tin 1600m, Turf "C+3" Course: 28 races, 381 runners analysed. Draw 3 has the best strike rate, 18% (5/28); draw 13 the worst, 0/26. Inside draws 1–4 win 14% and place 36%; draws 10 and wider win 7% and place 15%. Across all courses for 1600m at Sha Tin, inside draws win 11% (523 runners).

Turf "C+3" Course · 28 races · 381 runners

By draw

DrawStartsWWin %Place %All courses win %
127415%26%10%
228414%36%10%
328518%39%16%
428311%43%9%
52800%4%6%
62814%39%7%
72800%18%5%
82800%11%4%
92827%18%9%
102628%15%5%
112628%15%5%
122614%8%7%
132600%12%4%
1426415%23%8%

Rates are shown only from 20 runners upwards; smaller samples mislead.

Inside, middle and outside

DrawStartsWin %Place %All courses win %
Inside 1–411114%36%11%
Middle 5–91402%18%6%
Outside 10+1307%15%6%

How to read draw statistics

The same distance can favour inside or outside draws differently depending on the rail position (A, B, C, C+3 and so on), so each course is shown separately. Happy Valley's tight turns and short straight usually help inside draws; Sha Tin's long straight tends to reduce the effect. These are past results only — horse quality, pace and jockey still matter.

Other courses at Sha Tin

1000m A1000m A+31000m B+21000m C1000m C+31200m A1200m A+31200m AWT1200m B1200m B+21200m C1200m C+31400m A1400m A+31400m B1400m B+21400m C1400m C+31600m A1600m A+31600m B+21600m C1650m AWT1800m A1800m AWT1800m C1800m C+32000m A2000m A+32000m B+2

Pre-race signals are on @Oddsflowjockey_bot →

FAQ

Which draw is best over 1600m C+3 at Sha Tin?

draw 3 18% (5/28), draw 14 15% (4/26), draw 1 15% (4/27). Draws with fewer than 20 runners are not rated.

How much do inside and outside draws differ over 1600m C+3 at Sha Tin?

inside draws (1–4): 14% win, 36% place; middle draws (5–9): 2% win, 18% place; outside draws (10+): 7% win, 15% place.

Is the inside-draw edge stronger on the C+3 course?

Inside draws win 14% on this course against 11% across all 1600m courses at Sha Tin: a stronger inside edge here.

How are these draw statistics calculated?

All runners with a finishing position are counted (scratchings and non-finishers are not): 28 races, 381 runners, with old and new course notations merged. Win rate = wins ÷ runners; place rate = top-three finishes ÷ runners.

Data updated HKT