HK Racing AI

Sha Tin 1600m A Draw Statistics

Sha Tin 1600m, Turf "A" Course: 33 races, 442 runners analysed. Draw 6 has the best strike rate, 15% (5/33); draw 14 the worst, 0/26. Inside draws 1–4 win 6% and place 22%; draws 10 and wider win 5% and place 20%. Across all courses for 1600m at Sha Tin, inside draws win 11% (523 runners).

Turf "A" Course · 33 races · 442 runners

By draw

DrawStartsWWin %Place %All courses win %
13300%18%10%
23300%12%10%
333412%27%16%
433412%30%9%
533412%30%6%
633515%27%7%
73239%25%5%
83213%22%4%
932413%22%9%
103213%28%5%
113126%23%5%
1230310%23%7%
132927%14%4%
142600%12%8%

Rates are shown only from 20 runners upwards; smaller samples mislead.

Inside, middle and outside

DrawStartsWin %Place %All courses win %
Inside 1–41326%22%11%
Middle 5–916210%25%6%
Outside 10+1485%20%6%

How to read draw statistics

The same distance can favour inside or outside draws differently depending on the rail position (A, B, C, C+3 and so on), so each course is shown separately. Happy Valley's tight turns and short straight usually help inside draws; Sha Tin's long straight tends to reduce the effect. These are past results only — horse quality, pace and jockey still matter.

Other courses at Sha Tin

1000m A1000m A+31000m B+21000m C1000m C+31200m A1200m A+31200m AWT1200m B1200m B+21200m C1200m C+31400m A1400m A+31400m B1400m B+21400m C1400m C+31600m A+31600m B+21600m C1600m C+31650m AWT1800m A1800m AWT1800m C1800m C+32000m A2000m A+32000m B+2

Pre-race signals are on @Oddsflowjockey_bot →

FAQ

Which draw is best over 1600m A at Sha Tin?

draw 6 15% (5/33), draw 9 13% (4/32), draw 3 12% (4/33). Draws with fewer than 20 runners are not rated.

How much do inside and outside draws differ over 1600m A at Sha Tin?

inside draws (1–4): 6% win, 22% place; middle draws (5–9): 10% win, 25% place; outside draws (10+): 5% win, 20% place.

Is the inside-draw edge stronger on the A course?

Inside draws win 6% on this course against 11% across all 1600m courses at Sha Tin: a weaker inside edge here.

How are these draw statistics calculated?

All runners with a finishing position are counted (scratchings and non-finishers are not): 33 races, 442 runners, with old and new course notations merged. Win rate = wins ÷ runners; place rate = top-three finishes ÷ runners.

Data updated HKT