Sha Tin 1200m C+3 Draw Statistics
Sha Tin 1200m, Turf "C+3" Course: 71 races, 820 runners analysed. Draw 2 has the best strike rate, 16% (11/70); draw 7 the worst, 3/71. Inside draws 1–4 win 10% and place 34%; draws 10 and wider win 8% and place 21%. Across all courses for 1200m at Sha Tin, inside draws win 11% (1610 runners).
Turf "C+3" Course · 71 races · 820 runners
By draw
| Draw | Starts | W | Win % | Place % | All courses win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 71 | 6 | 8% | 39% | 12% |
| 2 | 70 | 11 | 16% | 30% | 12% |
| 3 | 69 | 6 | 9% | 39% | 8% |
| 4 | 70 | 6 | 9% | 29% | 11% |
| 5 | 71 | 6 | 8% | 30% | 6% |
| 6 | 70 | 5 | 7% | 19% | 8% |
| 7 | 71 | 3 | 4% | 24% | 8% |
| 8 | 69 | 8 | 12% | 20% | 6% |
| 9 | 70 | 5 | 7% | 17% | 6% |
| 10 | 68 | 6 | 9% | 19% | 8% |
| 11 | 65 | 6 | 9% | 23% | 6% |
| 12 | 56 | 3 | 5% | 21% | 6% |
Rates are shown only from 20 runners upwards; smaller samples mislead.
Inside, middle and outside
| Draw | Starts | Win % | Place % | All courses win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inside 1–4 | 280 | 10% | 34% | 11% |
| Middle 5–9 | 351 | 8% | 22% | 7% |
| Outside 10+ | 189 | 8% | 21% | 7% |
How to read draw statistics
The same distance can favour inside or outside draws differently depending on the rail position (A, B, C, C+3 and so on), so each course is shown separately. Happy Valley's tight turns and short straight usually help inside draws; Sha Tin's long straight tends to reduce the effect. These are past results only — horse quality, pace and jockey still matter.
Other courses at Sha Tin
1000m A1000m A+31000m B+21000m C1000m C+31200m A1200m A+31200m AWT1200m B1200m B+21200m C1400m A1400m A+31400m B1400m B+21400m C1400m C+31600m A1600m A+31600m B+21600m C1600m C+31650m AWT1800m A1800m AWT1800m C1800m C+32000m A2000m A+32000m B+2
Pre-race signals are on @Oddsflowjockey_bot →
FAQ
Which draw is best over 1200m C+3 at Sha Tin?
draw 2 16% (11/70), draw 8 12% (8/69), draw 11 9% (6/65). Draws with fewer than 20 runners are not rated.
How much do inside and outside draws differ over 1200m C+3 at Sha Tin?
inside draws (1–4): 10% win, 34% place; middle draws (5–9): 8% win, 22% place; outside draws (10+): 8% win, 21% place.
Is the inside-draw edge stronger on the C+3 course?
Inside draws win 10% on this course against 11% across all 1200m courses at Sha Tin: little difference.
How are these draw statistics calculated?
All runners with a finishing position are counted (scratchings and non-finishers are not): 71 races, 820 runners, with old and new course notations merged. Win rate = wins ÷ runners; place rate = top-three finishes ÷ runners.