HK Racing AI

Sha Tin 2000m A Draw Statistics

Sha Tin 2000m, Turf "A" Course: 14 races, 170 runners analysed. Inside draws 1–4 win 14% and place 27%; draws 10 and wider win 6% and place 21%. Across all courses for 2000m at Sha Tin, inside draws win 13% (160 runners).

Turf "A" Course · 14 races · 170 runners

By draw

DrawStartsWWin %Place %All courses win %
1142——13%
2143——15%
3143——10%
4140——13%
5141——5%
6142——10%
7140——8%
8130——8%
9120——8%
10122——6%
11101——10%
1290——0%
1390——0%
1470———

Rates are shown only from 20 runners upwards; smaller samples mislead.

Inside, middle and outside

DrawStartsWin %Place %All courses win %
Inside 1–45614%27%13%
Middle 5–9674%25%8%
Outside 10+476%21%4%

How to read draw statistics

The same distance can favour inside or outside draws differently depending on the rail position (A, B, C, C+3 and so on), so each course is shown separately. Happy Valley's tight turns and short straight usually help inside draws; Sha Tin's long straight tends to reduce the effect. These are past results only — horse quality, pace and jockey still matter.

Other courses at Sha Tin

1000m A1000m A+31000m B+21000m C1000m C+31200m A1200m A+31200m AWT1200m B1200m B+21200m C1200m C+31400m A1400m A+31400m B1400m B+21400m C1400m C+31600m A1600m A+31600m B+21600m C1600m C+31650m AWT1800m A1800m AWT1800m C1800m C+32000m A+32000m B+2

Pre-race signals are on @Oddsflowjockey_bot →

FAQ

How much do inside and outside draws differ over 2000m A at Sha Tin?

inside draws (1–4): 14% win, 27% place; middle draws (5–9): 4% win, 25% place; outside draws (10+): 6% win, 21% place.

Is the inside-draw edge stronger on the A course?

Inside draws win 14% on this course against 13% across all 2000m courses at Sha Tin: little difference.

How are these draw statistics calculated?

All runners with a finishing position are counted (scratchings and non-finishers are not): 14 races, 170 runners, with old and new course notations merged. Win rate = wins ÷ runners; place rate = top-three finishes ÷ runners.

Data updated HKT