HK Racing AI

Sha Tin 1800m C+3 Draw Statistics

Sha Tin 1800m, Turf "C+3" Course: 21 races, 285 runners analysed. Draw 3 has the best strike rate, 19% (4/21); draw 11 the worst, 0/21. Inside draws 1–4 win 8% and place 21%; draws 10 and wider win 5% and place 20%. Across all courses for 1800m at Sha Tin, inside draws win 9% (254 runners).

Turf "C+3" Course · 21 races · 285 runners

By draw

DrawStartsWWin %Place %All courses win %
12115%19%11%
22100%10%8%
321419%29%13%
421210%29%5%
521210%19%9%
62115%29%5%
72115%14%6%
821419%43%13%
92115%19%8%
1021210%24%8%
112100%5%2%
12190——4%
13192——10%
14161——5%

Rates are shown only from 20 runners upwards; smaller samples mislead.

Inside, middle and outside

DrawStartsWin %Place %All courses win %
Inside 1–4848%21%9%
Middle 5–91059%25%8%
Outside 10+965%20%6%

How to read draw statistics

The same distance can favour inside or outside draws differently depending on the rail position (A, B, C, C+3 and so on), so each course is shown separately. Happy Valley's tight turns and short straight usually help inside draws; Sha Tin's long straight tends to reduce the effect. These are past results only — horse quality, pace and jockey still matter.

Other courses at Sha Tin

1000m A1000m A+31000m B+21000m C1000m C+31200m A1200m A+31200m AWT1200m B1200m B+21200m C1200m C+31400m A1400m A+31400m B1400m B+21400m C1400m C+31600m A1600m A+31600m B+21600m C1600m C+31650m AWT1800m A1800m AWT1800m C2000m A2000m A+32000m B+2

Pre-race signals are on @Oddsflowjockey_bot →

FAQ

Which draw is best over 1800m C+3 at Sha Tin?

draw 3 19% (4/21), draw 8 19% (4/21), draw 4 10% (2/21). Draws with fewer than 20 runners are not rated.

How much do inside and outside draws differ over 1800m C+3 at Sha Tin?

inside draws (1–4): 8% win, 21% place; middle draws (5–9): 9% win, 25% place; outside draws (10+): 5% win, 20% place.

Is the inside-draw edge stronger on the C+3 course?

Inside draws win 8% on this course against 9% across all 1800m courses at Sha Tin: little difference.

How are these draw statistics calculated?

All runners with a finishing position are counted (scratchings and non-finishers are not): 21 races, 285 runners, with old and new course notations merged. Win rate = wins ÷ runners; place rate = top-three finishes ÷ runners.