HK Racing AI

Sha Tin 1000m C+3 Draw Statistics

Sha Tin 1000m, Turf "C+3" Course: 21 races, 275 runners analysed. Draw 7 has the best strike rate, 24% (5/21); draw 5 the worst, 0/21. Inside draws 1–4 win 7% and place 20%; draws 10 and wider win 6% and place 24%. Across all courses for 1000m at Sha Tin, inside draws win 8% (331 runners).

Turf "C+3" Course · 21 races · 275 runners

By draw

DrawStartsWWin %Place %All courses win %
12115%19%6%
22015%25%12%
32100%10%1%
421419%29%13%
52100%19%8%
621314%29%10%
721524%43%13%
82015%15%6%
920210%15%12%
10190——6%
11182——6%
12181——5%
13181——10%
14161——4%

Rates are shown only from 20 runners upwards; smaller samples mislead.

Inside, middle and outside

DrawStartsWin %Place %All courses win %
Inside 1–4837%20%8%
Middle 5–910311%24%10%
Outside 10+896%24%6%

How to read draw statistics

The same distance can favour inside or outside draws differently depending on the rail position (A, B, C, C+3 and so on), so each course is shown separately. Happy Valley's tight turns and short straight usually help inside draws; Sha Tin's long straight tends to reduce the effect. These are past results only — horse quality, pace and jockey still matter.

Other courses at Sha Tin

1000m A1000m A+31000m B+21000m C1200m A1200m A+31200m AWT1200m B1200m B+21200m C1200m C+31400m A1400m A+31400m B1400m B+21400m C1400m C+31600m A1600m A+31600m B+21600m C1600m C+31650m AWT1800m A1800m AWT1800m C1800m C+32000m A2000m A+32000m B+2

Pre-race signals are on @Oddsflowjockey_bot →

FAQ

Which draw is best over 1000m C+3 at Sha Tin?

draw 7 24% (5/21), draw 4 19% (4/21), draw 6 14% (3/21). Draws with fewer than 20 runners are not rated.

How much do inside and outside draws differ over 1000m C+3 at Sha Tin?

inside draws (1–4): 7% win, 20% place; middle draws (5–9): 11% win, 24% place; outside draws (10+): 6% win, 24% place.

Is the inside-draw edge stronger on the C+3 course?

Inside draws win 7% on this course against 8% across all 1000m courses at Sha Tin: little difference.

How are these draw statistics calculated?

All runners with a finishing position are counted (scratchings and non-finishers are not): 21 races, 275 runners, with old and new course notations merged. Win rate = wins ÷ runners; place rate = top-three finishes ÷ runners.