HK Racing AI

Sha Tin 2000m A+3 Draw Statistics

Sha Tin 2000m, Turf "A+3" Course: 9 races, 109 runners analysed. Inside draws 1–4 win 11% and place 39%; draws 10 and wider win 4% and place 11%. Across all courses for 2000m at Sha Tin, inside draws win 13% (160 runners).

Turf "A+3" Course · 9 races · 109 runners

By draw

DrawStartsWWin %Place %All courses win %
191——13%
290——15%
391——10%
492——13%
590——5%
691——10%
791——8%
892——8%
990——8%
1070——6%
1161——10%
1260——0%
1350——0%
1440———

Rates are shown only from 20 runners upwards; smaller samples mislead.

Inside, middle and outside

DrawStartsWin %Place %All courses win %
Inside 1–43611%39%13%
Middle 5–9459%22%8%
Outside 10+284%11%4%

How to read draw statistics

The same distance can favour inside or outside draws differently depending on the rail position (A, B, C, C+3 and so on), so each course is shown separately. Happy Valley's tight turns and short straight usually help inside draws; Sha Tin's long straight tends to reduce the effect. These are past results only — horse quality, pace and jockey still matter.

Other courses at Sha Tin

1000m A1000m A+31000m B+21000m C1000m C+31200m A1200m A+31200m AWT1200m B1200m B+21200m C1200m C+31400m A1400m A+31400m B1400m B+21400m C1400m C+31600m A1600m A+31600m B+21600m C1600m C+31650m AWT1800m A1800m AWT1800m C1800m C+32000m A2000m B+2

Pre-race signals are on @Oddsflowjockey_bot →

FAQ

How much do inside and outside draws differ over 2000m A+3 at Sha Tin?

inside draws (1–4): 11% win, 39% place; middle draws (5–9): 9% win, 22% place; outside draws (10+): 4% win, 11% place.

Is the inside-draw edge stronger on the A+3 course?

Inside draws win 11% on this course against 13% across all 2000m courses at Sha Tin: little difference.

How are these draw statistics calculated?

All runners with a finishing position are counted (scratchings and non-finishers are not): 9 races, 109 runners, with old and new course notations merged. Win rate = wins ÷ runners; place rate = top-three finishes ÷ runners.

Data updated HKT